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Creeperian annexation of Navidad and San Juan Diego

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Sequoyan border region referendums
Sequoyanflag2.png
← 2021 31 October 2022
  • Do you approve of annexation to the
  • Holy Traditionalist Empire of Creeperopolis?
LocationSequoyah
Voting systemFirst-past-the-post
OutcomeNavidad and San Juan Diego voted for annexation to Creeperopolis
Results by district
Results by district
Arapaho
Join Creeperopolis
 
 15.34%
Remain with Sequoyah
 
 84.66%
Eastern Sequoyah
Join Creeperopolis
 
 55.99%
Remain with Sequoyah
 
 44.01%
New Austin
Join Creeperopolis
 
 31.47%
Remain with Sequoyah
 
 68.53%

Referendums are scheduled for 31 October 2022 in the Sequoyan provinces of Arapaho, Eastern Sequoyah, and New Austin which will determine wether Sequoyan territory will be annexed by Creeperopolis. The referendums were scheduled as a part of an agreement between the Creeperian and Sequoyan governments made in June 2022 to bring an end to the CODECO military occupation of the country, which had been ongoing since December 2020 when CODECO forces deposed interim President William Adama.

The Sequoyan ruling class and many Sequoyans not subject to potential annexation believed the the referendums were a "necessary sacrifice" to bring an end to the country's two year-long military occupation and readmission to CODECO, and many Creeperans viewed them as a way to reunite with their ancestral homeland. Meanwhile, the vast majority of Sequoyans—both white and tribal—subject to potential annexation were strongly opposed to the referendums. Leftist Creeperans also opposed the annexation, who feared that the Creeperian government would crackdown on their political activism if they came under its jurisdiction.

Polling indicated that the referendums in Arapaho and New Austin would be overwhelmingly against annexation, while those in Eastern Sequoyah indicated a tight result. The final results resulted in the districts of Navidad and San Juan Diego voting for annexation to Creeperopolis, while the remaining districts voted to remain with Sequoyah. The polling in Arapaho and New Austin were heavily criticized after the referendum, as they almost universally indicated the margin of victory against annexation would be above 90 points, while the results showed only 60.32 and 37.06 point margins for Arapaho and New Austin, respectively.

Both the Creeperian and Sequoyan government assured that the referendums were free, fair, and impartial, and that there was not any sort of foreign interference in the electoral process. Despite this, foreign political leaders and activists have condemned the referendums as "illegitimate" and as "imperialistic". Additionally, some foreign analysts questioned the legality of the referendums, viewing them as a violation of Sequoyah's sovereignty.

Background

Historical Creeperian territories

Main article: Captaincy General of San Juan
Comandante Vázquez Luján enel Cañón Grande (2017) depicting Vázquez Luján's expedition reaching the Promethian Canyon in 1433.

In 1431, a Creeperian military expedition commanded by Gonzalo Vázquez Luján established the city of San Juan (now known as San Juan Diego) along the coast of the Sequoyan Strait near the island of Susla. The foundation of the city, as well as the Captaincy General of San Juan, was a part of Creeperopolis' growing colonial ambitions which followed the voyages and landings of Cristóbal Colón Cámarillo in the San Carlos Islands in the 1380s which led to the establishment of a colony there.

Vázquez Luján attempted to convert the local population there to Creeperian Catholicism and trade with them, however, he disappeared in 1435 while on an expedition west which led to him being succeeded by Armando Rivera Obregón. Rivera Obregón's declaration as Vázquez Luján's successor caused tension with Vázquez Luján's son, José Vázquez Valladares, which led to the outbreak of a civil war which lasted from 1457 to 1460. The civil war significantly weakened the captaincy general, and the colony was ended in 1518 with the fall of San Juan to the Sequoyan Empire.

After the conquest of the Captaincy General of San Juan by the Sequoyan Empire, the city of San Juan Diego and the surrounding area became a part of the modern state of Sequoyah. Although both white and tribal Sequoyans settled in the former territory of the captaincy general, a large Creeperian diaspora remained, and they became a critical voting demographic upon the establishment of a Sequoyan republic, as the country's two largest political parties, the Federalist Party (NIP) and the Whig Party (GP) sought to gain the Creeperian vote in subsequent presidential and legislative elections throughout the 19th, 20th, and 21st centuries. The region has also produced several prominent Sequoyan politicians of Creeperian descent, including two Sequoyan vice presidents: Ricardo Havana Guevera (1954–1966) and Ernesto Castro Aldana (2022–present).

CODECO military occupation

Further information: CODECO military intervention in Sequoyah

Template:Augustus Young series

On 5 December 2020, the Cooperation and Development Coalition (CODECO) launched a military invasion in Sequoyah following months of political instability and shortly after the beginning of the Sequoyan Civil War. CODECO installed Augustus Young as the country's provisional president.[1] CODECO helped Young depose interim President William Adama[2] and defeat rebel soldiers who were loyal to deposed President-Elect Edward Calhoun. Young declared an end to the war on 21 May 2021 and canceled a scheduled constitutional referendum.[3]

With the results of the October 2020 presidential election being annulled, new elections were held in May 2022 to determine the country's future president. Prior to the election, in February 2022, the CODECO-backed Sequoyan government came to an agreement for a new constitution and a new government system, which would establish a dual-presidential system, where the country would have two presidents: one white president, and one tribal president. In the May 2022 election, Young was elected as the country's white president, and Cheyall Chief Rushing Waters was elected as the country's tribal president.[4]

1 June Agreement

In his presidential campaign, Young expressed his intention to attain Sequoyah's readmission to CODECO, as Sequoyah had originally been a member from April to May 2020 until it was evicted for legalizing slavery.[5][6] On 1 June 2022, the governments of Sequoyah and Creeperopolis met in Freemont, the capital of Sequoyah, and came to an agreement which would lead to Sequoyah's readmission to CODECO and bring an end to the two year-long military occupation.[7]

A part of the agreement was that the territories administered by Creeperopolis in the Administrative Border Region (RAFSSE) would hold referendums to determine wether the provinces or parts of the provinces of Arapaho, Eastern Sequoyah, and New Austin desired annexation to Creeperopolis. This clause of the agreement was strongly criticized by several foreign politicians, activists, and non-Creeperian Sequoyans who lived in the areas subject to the referendums.[7]

Electoral process

The present Sequoyan provincial districts were used to determine which portions of the provinces of Arapaho, Eastern Sequoyah, and New Austin—the provinces that border Creeperopolis—would participate in the referendum. Ultimately, four of Arapaho's six districts, four of Eastern Sequoyah's fourteen districts, and two of New Austin's four districts were chosen as being eligible to participate. The remaining districts in the provinces were unaffected by the referendum. The decision for these specific districts was controversial, as it included Caprica, the capital city of New Austin, Marianton, the capital city of Arapaho, and San Juan Diego, Sequoyah's third largest city.

The ballot used in the referendum.

Residents of the districts were required to vote at designated polling stations operated by the Sequoyan Electoral Commission in their district's capital city. Once the votes were tallied, the districts which voted in a majority to join Creeperopolis would be annexed, while those which voted in a majority to remain with Sequoyah would have not been annexed. Nicolás Correa Encarnación, the Creeperian minister of external affairs, stated, "If a district votes 50.01 percent against annexation, it will not be annexed; however, if a district votes 50.01 percent for annexation, it will be annexed".

Each referendum ballot contained one question—"Do you approve of annexation to the Holy Traditionalist Empire of Creeperopolis?"—which was written in both Sequoyan and Creeperian Spanish.[note 1] Below the question, the ballot had two options: "Yes" (for) and "No" (against). Voters had to select one of the options for their vote to be officially counted; blank ballots, ballots where both options were selected, or ballots which had any writing other than an official vote were discarded and did not contribute to the final percentage, however, some have accussed the Sequoyan Electoral Commission of counting some invalid votes as votes in favor of annexation to appease the Creeperian government.

Party positions

Politically, the majority of Sequoyah's political parties and political leaders supported the referendum occurring, but differed on how the voters should vote. All of the legislature's opposition parties, consisting of left-leaning parties, urged voters to vote against annexation.[note 2] Meanwhile, the legislature's coalition parties, consisting of right-leaning parties, were divided on the issue: the Federalist Party urged voters to vote against annexation, the Creeperian League (LICRE) urged voters to vote for annexation, and the National Reconstruction Party (GAU) officially was neutral on the issue.

Choice Parties Political orientation Leader
Green tickY For Creeperian League Romerism Ernesto Castro Aldana
Red XN Against Creeperian Progress Party Progressivism Matías Hidalgo Pérez
Federalist Party Classical liberalism Odysseus Stanford
Restoration Party Social democracy Rushing Waters
Union Party Democratic socialism Ulysses Lincoln
United Socialist Federation Socialism Lee Nerys
Whig Party Isolationism Frederick Tolliver
Neutral National Reconstruction Party Conservatism Augustus Young

Outside of Sequoyah, the Creeperian Initiative (IC), the sole-legal political party in Creeperopolis, urged every Creeperian within Sequoyah to vote in favor of annexation. The party's leader, José Sáenz Morales, stated, "for 500 years, you have lived away from your home, and for centuries, you have yearned for your anticipated reunification with Creeperopolis", calling for Creeperans within Sequoyah to vote for annexation, which he described as "reunification" with Creeperopolis.[8]

Opinion polling

The tables below list opinion polling results divided by province in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading option's color. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the options in a poll. Unlike most polls conducted during Sequoyan elections, "Undecided" was not accepted as a valid option as per a governmental decree.

Most of the polling conducted occurred in Eastern Sequoyah, as the referendum there was expected to be close and contested. Most of the polls conducted since July 2022 resulted in a marginal difference of less than 10 percentage points. Polling was much less intensive in both Arapaho and New Austin, in part due to the difficulty of performing efficient polling in the two provinces, but also because the overwhelming majority of polls found that over 90 percent were against annexation and the polling firms felt it was unnecessary to conduct frequent polls as was occurring in Eastern Sequoyah.

The method of polling was criticized as "uninformative" and "improper", as polling did not focus on public opinion on a district level, but instead on a provincial level. Although this did not greatly affect overall polling Arapaho's and New Austin's districts, it did skew the perception of public opinion in favor of annexation across Eastern Sequoyah. The districts of Navidad and San Juan Diego are generally in favor of annexation, while the districts of Ephraim and New Laurent are generally opposed to annexation. The average of the four districts combined showed a slight advantage in favor of annexation.

Arapaho

Opinion polling for the 2022 northern Sequoyan annexation referendums (Arapaho province)

Eastern Sequoyah

Opinion polling for the 2022 northern Sequoyan annexation referendums (Eastern Sequoyah province)

New Austin

Opinion polling for the 2022 northern Sequoyan annexation referendums (New Austin province)

Results

Arapaho districts

Overall results

OptionVotes%
Yes16,49315.34
No91,01484.66
Total107,507100.00
Valid votes107,50793.23
Invalid/blank votes7,8026.77
Total votes115,309100.00
Registered voters/turnout195,05659.12
Source: Sequoyan Electoral Commission

Eastern Sequoyah districts

Overall results

OptionVotes%
Yes182,89055.99
No143,74844.01
Total326,638100.00
Valid votes326,63892.33
Invalid/blank votes27,1217.67
Total votes353,759100.00
Registered voters/turnout481,34373.49
Source: Sequoyan Electoral Commission

New Austin districts

Overall results

OptionVotes%
Yes15,55231.47
No33,86768.53
Total49,419100.00
Valid votes49,41991.15
Invalid/blank votes4,7998.85
Total votes54,218100.00
Registered voters/turnout100,96953.70
Source: Sequoyan Electoral Commission

Reactions

International reactions
  •  Eleutherios: On 4 June 2022, Stavros II, the chancellor of Eleutherios, expressed his support for the principle of holding referendums to determine the future of the region, but also emphasized his suspicion on the legitimacy of the referendums, questioning if the oversight of the referendums would be in favor of Creeperopolis.[12]
  •  El Salvador: On 2 June 2022, Orlando Pareja Palau, the president of El Salvador, stated that he disagreed with the referendums occurring, stating, "referendums are an inherently democratic process, and the democratic system has time and time again proven to be a disaster for humanity". Pareja Palau is an outspoken opponent of democracy, and he called on Creeperopolis to negate the referendum, and instead unilaterally annex any Sequoyan territory which possessed a Creeperian majority population, calling it the only "fair and sensible solution".[13]
  •  Paleocacher: On 1 June 2022, Eliza Dickins, the press officer for the Department of Foreign Affairs, stated that the Paleocacherian government was pleased at the "peaceful resolution" to CODECO's military occupation, and called for close monitoring of the referendum's electoral process.[14]
  •  State of the Church: On 3 June 2022, Pope Francisco I stated that the referendums were a "path for peace and tranquility" and called upon the world to respect the referendums.[15]
  •  Terranihil: On 1 June 2022, Egath Tribon, a spokesperson for the Department of Foreign Affairs, stated that Terranihil would not recognize the results of the referendums and reasserted that the Terranilian government did not recognize the new Sequoyan government.[16]
  •  Tirol: On 2 June 2022, Marcus Garder, the minister of foreign affairs of Tirol stated he was "deeply concerned" by the Creeperian government's decision to authorize referenda on the territorial integrity of Sequoyah. He further added, "This action is a potentially grave threat to the sovereignty, independence, and territorial integrity of the state. We condemn any act of aggression against Sequoyah's national sovereignty, and the right of the Sequoyan people to a state".[17]

See also

Creeperopolis portal
Terraconserva portal

Notes

  1. ↑ Sequoyan: ᎿᏛᎦ ᏂᎯ ᎪᎯᏳᏙᏗ ᎠᏕᎳᏗᏍᏗ ᎦᎸᏉᏗᏳ ᎧᏃᎮᎸᎯ ᏙᏱᏗᏢᎦᏚᎲ ᎤᏍᏗᎤᏪᏴᎦᏚᎲᎢ?; Creeperian Spanish: ¿Ապրեuբաս ա լա'անեխիօն ալ Սանտո Իմպերիո Տրադիծիոնալիստա դե Ծրեեպերօպոլիս?
  2. ↑ The Creeperian Progress Party (PPC) officially supported the "against" option, however, a minority of members voiced support for the "for" option, stating that unification with the Creeperian homeland was more important than the ideological differences the party had with the Creeperian government.

References

  1. ↑ Cabañeras Gutiérrez, Augusto Ramón (5 December 2020). "Promesa, Progresso, Prosperidad, y Paz" [Promise, Progress, Prosperity, and Peace]. Ministry of Defense (in Creeperian Spanish). San Salvador, Creeperopolis. Retrieved 22 March 2022.CS1 maint: unrecognized language (link)
  2. ↑ Justice, Clancy Charles (14 February 2021). "ᎢᏳᏍᏗᏗᎦᎸᏫᏍᏓᏁᏗ ᎠᎴ ᏍᏏᏉᏯ ᎠᏂᏌᏙᏯᏍᎩ ᎦᏌᏙᏯᏍᏗ ᎾᎾᎯ ᎾᏍᎦᏅᏅᎠ ᏧᎸᏫᏍᏓᏁᏗ ᎤᏲᎱᏒ" [COMISEQ and Sequoyan Forces Push into San Juan Diego]. Freemont Expositor (in Sequoyan). Freemont, Sequoyah. Retrieved 22 March 2022.CS1 maint: unrecognized language (link)
  3. ↑ Young, Augustus Juniper (21 May 2021). "ᎦᎶᏂ ᎣᏂᎡᎯ ᎠᏲᎵ ᎤᏁᏨᎩ ᎠᏓᏎᎪᎩᏍᏗ ᎦᏬᎯᎸᏙᏗ ᎤᏌᎯᎸᏥᏌᎠᎦᏛᏅ ᏍᏏᏉᏯ ᎠᏓᏅ ᏓᏄᏩ" [Augustus Juniper Young Declares Victory Over Calhounists in the Sequoyan Civil War]. Government of Sequoyah (in Sequoyan). Freemont, Sequoyah. Retrieved 22 March 2022.CS1 maint: unrecognized language (link)
  4. ↑ Sequoyan Election Commission (1 May 2022). "2022 ᏍᏏᏉᏯ ᎤᎬᏫᏳᎯ ᏗᏙᎩᏯᏍᏗ ᏄᎵᏍᏔᏅ" [2022 Sequoyan Presidential Election Results]. Government of Sequoyah (in Sequoyan). Freemont, Sequoyah. Retrieved 1 May 2022.CS1 maint: unrecognized language (link)
  5. ↑ Franco Rodríguez, Carlos Jorge (19 April 2020). "Soldados Secoyaneros Empiezan Operaciones Junto conel Ejército Creeperiano" [Sequoyan Soldiers Begin Joint-Operations with the Creeperian Army]. Gaceta Creeperiano (in Creeperian Spanish). San Salvador, Creeperopolis. Retrieved 22 March 2022.CS1 maint: unrecognized language (link)
  6. ↑ Franco Rodríguez, Carlos Jorge (2 May 2020). "Batallón Secoyanero de Voluntares Arrestado en Creeperópolis por'la Legalización del Esclavitud porel Gobierno de Secoya" [Sequoyan Volunteer Battalion Arrested in Creeperopolis due to the Sequoyan Government's Legalization of Slavery]. Gaceta Creeperiano (in Creeperian Spanish). San Salvador, Creeperopolis. Retrieved 22 March 2022.CS1 maint: unrecognized language (link)
  7. ↑ 7.0 7.1 Correa Encarnación, Nicolás Adolfo (1 June 2022). "Ծոնվենիո դել 1 դե Ջփնիո" [1 June Agreement]. Ministry of External Affairs of Creeperopolis (in Creeperian Spanish). Freemont, Sequoyah. Retrieved 20 October 2022.CS1 maint: unrecognized language (link)
  8. ↑ Sáenz Morales, José Antonio (22 October 2022). "Փն Մենսաջե Ոֆիծիալ դե լա'Ինիծիատիվա Րեալ Ծատօլիծո Ծրեեպերիանո Նածիոնալիստա յ լա'Ֆրենտե Պրո-Պատրիա դե Փնիֆիծածիօն են լա'Րեֆերէնդփմ են Սեծոյա" [An Official Statement from the Nationalist Creeperian Catholic Royal Initiative and the Pro-Fatherland Front of Unification on the Upcoming Referendum in Sequoyah]. Creeperian Initiative (in Creeperian Spanish). San Salvador, Creeperopolis. Retrieved 22 October 2022.CS1 maint: unrecognized language (link)
  9. ↑ Sequoyan Electoral Commission (31 October 2022). "ᏂᏚᎵᏍᏔᏅ ᏗᎪᎯᏍᏗᏍᎩ ᏗᏙᎩᏯᏍᏗ" [Results of the Arapaho Referendum]. Government of Sequoyah (in Sequoyan). Freemont, Sequoyah. Retrieved 31 October 2022.CS1 maint: unrecognized language (link)
  10. ↑ Sequoyan Electoral Commission (31 October 2022). "ᏂᏚᎵᏍᏔᏅ ᎧᎸᎬᎢᏗᏢ ᏍᏏᏉᏯ ᏗᏙᎩᏯᏍᏗ" [Results of the Eastern Sequoyah Referendum]. Government of Sequoyah (in Sequoyan). Freemont, Sequoyah. Retrieved 31 October 2022.CS1 maint: unrecognized language (link)
  11. ↑ Sequoyan Electoral Commission (31 October 2022). "ᏂᏚᎵᏍᏔᏅ ᎢᏤ ᎠᏰᏘᎠᏂᎾᏕᎬ ᏗᏙᎩᏯᏍᏗ" [Results of the New Austin Referendum]. Government of Sequoyah (in Sequoyan). Freemont, Sequoyah. Retrieved 31 October 2022.CS1 maint: unrecognized language (link)
  12. ↑ Stavros II (4 June 2022). "Δήλωση του Καγκελαρίου Σταύρου Β' για τα προσεχή δημοψηφίσματα του Οκτωβρίου στο Σεκόια" [Statement of Chancellor Stavros II on the Upcoming October Referendums in Sequoyah]. Government of Eleutherios (in Eleutherian). Oikos, Eleutherios. Retrieved 24 October 2022.CS1 maint: unrecognized language (link)
  13. ↑ Pareja Palau, Orlando Óscar (2 June 2022). "Estat Oficial de la República Imperial d'El Salvador Sobre Sequoyah i l'Acord de l'1 de Juny" [Official State of the Imperial Republic of El Salvador Regarding Sequoyah and the 1 June Agreement]. Government of El Salvador (in Salvadoran Spanish). Ciutat dels Àngels, El Salvador. Retrieved 22 October 2022.CS1 maint: unrecognized language (link)
  14. ↑ Dickins, Eliza (1 June 2022). "Aithris air Cùisean O chionn ghoirid ann an Secoié" [Statement on Recent Affairs in Sequoyah]. Department of Foreign Affairs (in Eusazy). Gardena, Paleocacher. Retrieved 24 October 2022.CS1 maint: unrecognized language (link)
  15. ↑ Francisco I (3 June 2022). "Փն Մենսաջե Ոֆիծիալ Սոբրե լա'Ծոնվենիո դել 1 դե Ջփնիո" [Official Statement Regarding the 1 June Agreement]. Government of the State of the Church (in Creeperian Spanish). San Salvador del Oeste, State of the Church. Retrieved 23 October 2022.CS1 maint: unrecognized language (link)
  16. ↑ Tribon, Egath (1 June 2022). "Sekoija'daki Duruma İlişkin Açıklama" [Statement Regarding the Situation in Sequoyah]. Department of Foreign Affairs (in Vaktrian). Minaltar, Terranihil. Retrieved 24 October 2022.CS1 maint: unrecognized language (link)
  17. ↑ Garder, Marcus (2 June 2022). "Ministèr dela Cossa Straurdener d'Tirol – Palavra su Eleziõn a Séquoie" [Tiroler Ministry of Foreign Affairs – Statement on Referenda in Sequoyah]. Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Tirol (in Ladin). Innsbruck, Tirol. Retrieved 22 October 2022.CS1 maint: unrecognized language (link)

External links

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