Difference between revisions of "1968 Southern Rakeo malaria epidemic"

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{{Infobox event
 
{{Infobox event
| title                    = {{nowrap|Southern Rakeo malaria epidemic}}<!-- Title to display, if other than page name -->
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| title                    = Southern Rakeo malaria epidemic<!-- Title to display, if other than page name -->
 
| image                    =  
 
| image                    =  
 
| image_upright            =  
 
| image_upright            =  
 
| image_alt                =  
 
| image_alt                =  
 
| caption                  =  
 
| caption                  =  
| date                    = {{start and end dates|1967|04|15|1976|03|12}}<!-- {{start date|YYYY|MM|DD}} or {{start and end dates|YYYY|MM|DD|YYYY|MM|DD}} -->
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| date                    = {{start and end dates|1968|11|21|1976|03|12}}<!-- {{start date|YYYY|MM|DD}} or {{start and end dates|YYYY|MM|DD|YYYY|MM|DD}} -->
 
| location                = Southern/Central Sur
 
| location                = Southern/Central Sur
 
| coordinates              = <!-- {{coord|LAT|LON|region:XXXX_type:event|display=inline,title}} -->
 
| coordinates              = <!-- {{coord|LAT|LON|region:XXXX_type:event|display=inline,title}} -->
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| theme                    =  
 
| theme                    =  
 
| cause                    = Flooding<br>Water infrastructure breakdown<br>Mismanagement of health resources
 
| cause                    = Flooding<br>Water infrastructure breakdown<br>Mismanagement of health resources
| reported deaths          = 15,000-40,000 (Rakeoian sources)<br>20,000-100,000 (Independent research)
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| reported deaths          = 15,000-40,000<br>60,000-200,000
 
| publication_bans        = [[Rakeo]] (partial)
 
| publication_bans        = [[Rakeo]] (partial)
 
| notes                    =  
 
| notes                    =  
 
}}
 
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The '''1967 Southern Rakeo malaria epidemic''' was the largest outbreak of [[Creeperian Malaria]] in [[Rakeo]] in the 20th century. Triggered by severe flooding and made worse through both negligence and intentional policy, discussion of the government's response to the epidemic is largely censored in modern Rakeo. 
 
  
[[File:Barragem.jpg|thumb|right|Ill maintained weirs were cited as a contributor to the severity of later flooding seen as a trigger for the epidemic]]
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The '''1968 Southern Rakeo malaria epidemic''' was the largest outbreak of [[Creeperian Malaria]] in [[Rakeo]] in the 20th century. Triggered by [[1967 Menora del Sur floods|severe flooding]] the year prior creating new breeding grounds for the ''[[Aedes creeperiacae]]'' mosquito, the epidemic was worsened by the isolationist policies of [[General Secretary (Rakeo)|General Secretary]] and [[Heads of state of Rakeo|de facto dictator]] [[Ricardo Cornelio]], as well as government infighting. Discussion of the government's response to the epidemic was censored in Rakeo for decades, and the epidemic remains a sensitive and rarely covered subject in Rakeo outside of academia. The most credible information on the topic is the result of academic study from the [[University of San Miguel de Martínez]] conducted between the period of 2003–5, which was peer reviewed and released to international journals. While questions remain regarding the veracity of the 2005 study, it and the historical archive materials contained are the first accounts of events not recalled from memory by defectors.
  
== April flash floods ==
+
== Background ==
  
The collapse of the civilian government led to waterway infrastructure across the country, but particularly in the rural interior, going without maintenance. Infrastructure like dams, weirs, and pumping stations, already strained from lack of maintenance, were unable to cope with the increased load of the floods and began to fail. The resulting stagnant floodwaters made for exceptional breeding grounds for mosquitos, which began to spread Malaria to nearby areas.
+
[[File:Rakeo 1967 Floods Chart.png|200px|thumb|left|'''Percentage Increase Over Average Rainfall in cm per Administration in 1967'''<br>{{legend|#c1c1c1|Non-significant}} {{legend|#ffebd6|10-30%}} {{legend|#eba988|31-60%}} {{legend|#e08465|61-90%}} {{legend|#d65d45|91-120%}} {{legend|#cc3527|120%+}}]]
  
== Government response ==
+
The malaria parasite, ''[[Creeperian Malaria|Plasmodium creeperiacae]]'', spreads primarily through mosquitoes (known as an insect vector), and throughout history has been primarily controlled through killing of the mosquito hosts and denial of their ability to finding sources of stagnant water for reproduction.
  
The epidemic was exacerbated by government response. Draining of waterlogged areas around the region was piecemeal as local authorities were left to deal with the crisis without broader support. Isolationist policies prohibiting foreign imports continued, in spite of the rapid depletion of the national stock of quinine. Quinine growing plants like the cinchona tree are killed by the harshness of Rakeo’s winters, and synthetic production, being non-economical, had not been pursued in prior years.  
+
Malaria was introduced to Rakeo alongside the ''[[Aedes creeperiacae]]'' mosquito as travel and trade between northern Rakeo and trade partners throughout the Senvarian sea, with its characteristic fevers being recorded by scholars as early as the 15th century, but its widespread transmission was delayed until the late 19th century, where disruption to the land through industrialization of the island and increased traffic between Rakeo and Creeperopolis during colonization led to ''Aedes creeperiacae'' developing a continous presence in the area. Throughout the [[Captaincy General of Rakeo]] and [[Second Republic of Rakeo]], draining of land for further development and creation of roads helped to control the disease through disrupting mosquito populations.
  
Instead of lifting bans on foreign imports, then Head of State [[Ricardo Cornelio]] recommended that sufferers find 'patriotic medicines' that grew within the homeland. Other government officials told malaria patients to use willow bark to alleviate their symptoms. While willow bark can reduce fevers, it has no direct impact on the parasite that causes Malaria disease. As the disease swept through Southern Rakeo, patients not getting access to antimalarials resulted in large excess mortality.  
+
Much of the drainage and water control infrastructure created between 1850–1950 was owned by companies using water power in the processing of lumber and the milling of grain, and when those industries faced serious disruption as their workers fled or were conscripted due to the ongoing [[Rakeoian Civil War]], their dams across the countryside went without maintenance, particularly in the rural interior. When the abnormally heavy autumn rains began between 15 April – 21 April 1967, dams, weirs, and pumping stations in the [[Menora del Sur]] began to fail, resulting in exceptional flooding throughout the region. Attempts to repair the damage and drain floodwaters were disrupted by governmental infighting and the beginning of winter, which marked the end of repair efforts until spring of 1968.  
  
Extermination efforts against ''[[Aedes creeperiacae]]'' led to the creation of the [[Military Agency for Extermination]]. The epidemic was declared over in 1976, with no new malaria cases appearing for the past six months in the Southern Sur region.
+
Which government directories were responsible for repairs and rehousing of residents were both contested, with the [[Directory of Agriculture Matters]] and [[Directory of Industrial Matters]] both claiming that financing the repair of the dams throughout the region were the other directory's responsibility, leaving contractors without pay and local government authorities operating with smaller budgets to lead the response.
 +
 
 +
== Epidemic ==
 +
 
 +
In spring of 1968, mosquito populations began to rise far beyond normal levels due to the presence of flooded areas throughout the countryside. Hospitals began recording a significant uptick in malaria cases, and on 21 November 1968, [[Minister of Menora del Sur|Minister]] [[Andrés Mendoza Velázquez]] of Menora del Sur declared a public health emergency, requesting monetary support from the [[Stratocratic Authority]] and doctors and nurses from the [[Rakeoian Armed Services]].
 +
 
 +
The minister requested a stay on isolationist trade policies prohibiting foreign imports in the field of pharmaceuticals and medicines, but these were upheld in spite of the rapid depletion of the national civilian stockpile of quinine. Quinine growing plants like the cinchona tree are killed by the harshness of Rakeo’s winters, and synthetic production, being non-economical, had not been pursued in prior years. Instead of lifting bans on foreign imports, then Head of State [[Ricardo Cornelio]] recommended that sufferers find 'patriotic medicines' that grew within the homeland, and other government officials told malaria sufferers to use willow bark to alleviate their symptoms. While willow bark can reduce fevers it has no direct impact on the parasite that causes Malaria disease. Lack of access to proper treatment with antimalarial medications drove excess mortality of patients throughout the epidemic. The Directory of Industrial Affairs put out a bid for the construction of a quinine production plant in the city of [[Palco]], but it was not completed and operational until 1972.
 +
 
 +
Extermination efforts against mosquitos led to the creation of the [[Military Agency for Extermination]], which took control of both ground based and aerial campaigns of pesticide spraying throughout Menora del Sur. These efforts were credited by doctors with the relatively low rates of malaria in the urban centers of Palco and [[San Miguel de Martínez]]. The epidemic was declared over in 1976 by the Stratocratic Authority, with the rate of malaria cases appearing to match historical norms for six months in the region.
 +
 
 +
Also present in the federal response was the [[Army Special Directory on Epidemiology]]'s malaria unit, though records regarding the organization's relation to other directories are unavailable.
 +
 
 +
=== Deaths ===
 +
 
 +
The final death tally from the epidemic in 1976 was declared as 15,000, and an upper limit of 40,000 could be derived from the contemporary dispatches of local governments. Revised estimates released after reanalysis in 2005 estimate the event created excess mortality in 200,000 individuals.  
  
 
== Legacy ==
 
== Legacy ==

Latest revision as of 20:42, 22 September 2023

Southern Rakeo malaria epidemic
DateNovember 21, 1968 – March 12, 1976 (1968-11-21 – 1976-03-12)
LocationSouthern/Central Sur
Also known asRakeoian Malaria Outbreak
CauseFlooding
Water infrastructure breakdown
Mismanagement of health resources
Deaths15,000-40,000
60,000-200,000
Publication bansRakeo (partial)

The 1968 Southern Rakeo malaria epidemic was the largest outbreak of Creeperian Malaria in Rakeo in the 20th century. Triggered by severe flooding the year prior creating new breeding grounds for the Aedes creeperiacae mosquito, the epidemic was worsened by the isolationist policies of General Secretary and de facto dictator Ricardo Cornelio, as well as government infighting. Discussion of the government's response to the epidemic was censored in Rakeo for decades, and the epidemic remains a sensitive and rarely covered subject in Rakeo outside of academia. The most credible information on the topic is the result of academic study from the University of San Miguel de Martínez conducted between the period of 2003–5, which was peer reviewed and released to international journals. While questions remain regarding the veracity of the 2005 study, it and the historical archive materials contained are the first accounts of events not recalled from memory by defectors.

Background

Percentage Increase Over Average Rainfall in cm per Administration in 1967
  Non-significant
  10-30%
  31-60%
  61-90%
  91-120%
  120%+

The malaria parasite, Plasmodium creeperiacae, spreads primarily through mosquitoes (known as an insect vector), and throughout history has been primarily controlled through killing of the mosquito hosts and denial of their ability to finding sources of stagnant water for reproduction.

Malaria was introduced to Rakeo alongside the Aedes creeperiacae mosquito as travel and trade between northern Rakeo and trade partners throughout the Senvarian sea, with its characteristic fevers being recorded by scholars as early as the 15th century, but its widespread transmission was delayed until the late 19th century, where disruption to the land through industrialization of the island and increased traffic between Rakeo and Creeperopolis during colonization led to Aedes creeperiacae developing a continous presence in the area. Throughout the Captaincy General of Rakeo and Second Republic of Rakeo, draining of land for further development and creation of roads helped to control the disease through disrupting mosquito populations.

Much of the drainage and water control infrastructure created between 1850–1950 was owned by companies using water power in the processing of lumber and the milling of grain, and when those industries faced serious disruption as their workers fled or were conscripted due to the ongoing Rakeoian Civil War, their dams across the countryside went without maintenance, particularly in the rural interior. When the abnormally heavy autumn rains began between 15 April – 21 April 1967, dams, weirs, and pumping stations in the Menora del Sur began to fail, resulting in exceptional flooding throughout the region. Attempts to repair the damage and drain floodwaters were disrupted by governmental infighting and the beginning of winter, which marked the end of repair efforts until spring of 1968.

Which government directories were responsible for repairs and rehousing of residents were both contested, with the Directory of Agriculture Matters and Directory of Industrial Matters both claiming that financing the repair of the dams throughout the region were the other directory's responsibility, leaving contractors without pay and local government authorities operating with smaller budgets to lead the response.

Epidemic

In spring of 1968, mosquito populations began to rise far beyond normal levels due to the presence of flooded areas throughout the countryside. Hospitals began recording a significant uptick in malaria cases, and on 21 November 1968, Minister Andrés Mendoza Velázquez of Menora del Sur declared a public health emergency, requesting monetary support from the Stratocratic Authority and doctors and nurses from the Rakeoian Armed Services.

The minister requested a stay on isolationist trade policies prohibiting foreign imports in the field of pharmaceuticals and medicines, but these were upheld in spite of the rapid depletion of the national civilian stockpile of quinine. Quinine growing plants like the cinchona tree are killed by the harshness of Rakeo’s winters, and synthetic production, being non-economical, had not been pursued in prior years. Instead of lifting bans on foreign imports, then Head of State Ricardo Cornelio recommended that sufferers find 'patriotic medicines' that grew within the homeland, and other government officials told malaria sufferers to use willow bark to alleviate their symptoms. While willow bark can reduce fevers it has no direct impact on the parasite that causes Malaria disease. Lack of access to proper treatment with antimalarial medications drove excess mortality of patients throughout the epidemic. The Directory of Industrial Affairs put out a bid for the construction of a quinine production plant in the city of Palco, but it was not completed and operational until 1972.

Extermination efforts against mosquitos led to the creation of the Military Agency for Extermination, which took control of both ground based and aerial campaigns of pesticide spraying throughout Menora del Sur. These efforts were credited by doctors with the relatively low rates of malaria in the urban centers of Palco and San Miguel de Martínez. The epidemic was declared over in 1976 by the Stratocratic Authority, with the rate of malaria cases appearing to match historical norms for six months in the region.

Also present in the federal response was the Army Special Directory on Epidemiology's malaria unit, though records regarding the organization's relation to other directories are unavailable.

Deaths

The final death tally from the epidemic in 1976 was declared as 15,000, and an upper limit of 40,000 could be derived from the contemporary dispatches of local governments. Revised estimates released after reanalysis in 2005 estimate the event created excess mortality in 200,000 individuals.

Legacy

The Military Agency for Extermination was civilianized to the Directory of the Environment and Extermination in 1981, and continued in its mission to remove threats to Rakeo's ecology and public health. While Malaria remains a threat to health in Rakeo, in 2014, it reported an average of 20 deaths per year attributable to the parasite.