View source for 2024 Ostlandet Parliament election in Kernev

{{Infobox election
| election_name     = 2024 Ostlandet Parliament election in Kernev
| country           = Kernev
| type              = parliamentary<!-- presidential, parliamentary, legislative, primary, or by-election --><!-- MANDATORY, and limited to the preceding five types -->
| vote_type         = Popular <!-- default -->
| ongoing           = yes
| party_colour      = 
| party_name        = 
| alliance_name     = 
| previous_election = 
| previous_year     = 
| outgoing_members  = 
| election_date     = {{Start date|2024|12|22|df=yes}}
| elected_members   = 
| next_election     = 2029 Ostlandet Parliament election in Kernev<!--page title, will be linked if it exists-->
| next_year         = ''2029''
| votes_for_election= 
| needed_votes      = 
| seats_for_election= All 4 Kernev seats in the [[Ostlandet Parliament]]
| majority_seats    = 
| opinion_polls     = 
| registered        = 
| turnout           = 
| votes_counted     = <!-- Use ONE out of votes_counted, reporting or declared, do not include percentage (%) sign-->
| reporting         = <!-- Use ONE out of votes_counted, reporting or declared, do not include percentage (%) sign-->
| declared          = <!-- Use ONE out of votes_counted, reporting or declared, do not include percentage (%) sign-->
| last_update       = 
| time_zone         = 
| image_upright     = 
| filler            = <!-- (fills whitespace to the left of image1 with filler text, such as "Political selections")-->

<!--        person 1        -->
| image1            = Official portrait of Mr David Jones crop 2.jpg
| image1_size       = 120px
| image1_upright    = 
| colour1           = d5c229
| nominee1          = <!-- when appropriate, candidate1 can be used instead -->
| candidate1        = <!-- any type of election -->
| leader1           = [[Carwyn mab Alluwd]] <!-- legislative or parliamentary only-->
| party1            = Mebyon Kernev
| alliance1         = [[Ostlandet Liberal and Centrist Party|PLMO]]
| leader_since1     = 
| leaders_seat1     = [[East Kernev (Ostlandet Parliament constituency)|East]]
| last_election1    = 
| seats_before1     = 
| seats_needed1     = 
| seats1            = 
| seats_after1      = 
| seat_change1      = 
| popular_vote1     = 
| percentage1       = 
| swing1            = <!-- legislative or parliamentary only-->

<!--        person 2        -->
| image2            = Adam-price (cropped).jpg
| image2_size       = 120px
| image2_upright    = 
| colour2           = 1A1A1A
| nominee2          = <!-- presidential only, when appropriate, candidate2 can be used instead -->
| candidate2        = <!-- any type of election -->
| leader2           = [[Ieuan Cemaes]]<!-- legislative or parliamentary only-->
| party2            = [[Bora Keltek]]
| alliance2         = [[Sovereigntist Group|BF]]
<!-- legislative or parliamentary -->
| leader_since2     = 
| leaders_seat2     = [[South Kernev (Ostlandet Parliament constituency)|South]]
| last_election2    = 
| seats_before2     = 
| seats_needed2     = 
| seats2            = 
| seats_after2      = 
| seat_change2      = 
<!-- any -->
| popular_vote2     = 
| percentage2       = 
| swing2            = <!-- legislative or parliamentary only-->

<!--        person 3        -->
| image3            = Elin-jones (cropped).jpg
| image3_size       = 120px
| image3_upright    = 
| colour3           = 00C2CB
| nominee3          = <!-- presidential only, when appropriate, candidate3 can be used instead -->
| candidate3        = <!-- any type of election -->
| leader3           = [[Eluned myrgh Talan]]<!-- legislative or parliamentary only-->
| party3            = [[Unyans Kernevek]]
| alliance3         = [[Progressive and Social Democratic Alliance|CASD]]
<!-- legislative or parliamentary -->
| leader_since3     = 
| leaders_seat3     = [[North Kernev (Ostlandet Parliament constituency)|North]]
| last_election3    = 
| seats_before3     = 
| seats_needed3     = 
| seats3            = 
| seats_after3      = 
| seat_change3      = 
<!-- any -->
| popular_vote3     = 
| percentage3       = 
| swing3            = <!-- legislative or parliamentary only-->

<!-- polls -->
| poll1_date        = 
| poll1_source      = 
| poll1_nominee1    = <!-- presidential only, when appropriate, poll1_candidate1 can be used instead -->
| poll1_party1      = <!-- legislative or parliamentary only-->
| poll1_nominee2    = <!-- presidential only, when appropriate, poll1_candidate2 can be used instead -->
| poll1_party2      = <!-- legislative or parliamentary only-->
| poll2_date        = 
| poll2_source      = 
| poll2_nominee1    = <!-- presidential only, when appropriate, poll2_candidate1 can be used instead -->
| poll2_party1      = <!-- legislative or parliamentary only-->
| poll2_nominee2    = <!-- presidential only, when appropriate, poll2_candidate2 can be used instead -->
| poll2_party2      = <!-- legislative or parliamentary only-->

<!-- auxiliary rows -->
| 1blank            = 
| 1data1            = 
| 1data2            = 
| 2blank            = 
| 2data1            = 
| 2data2            = 

<!-- map -->
| map_image         = 
| map_size          = 
| map_alt           = 
| map               = 
| map_caption       = 

<!-- bottom -->
| title             = 
| before_election   = 
| before_party      = 
| posttitle         = 
| after_election    = 
| after_party       = 
}}

The '''2024 Ostlandet Parliament election''' in [[Kernev]] is due to take place on 22 December 2024. It will be the first election to the Ostlandet Parliament and Kernev will elect 4 of the 915 members of the [[Ostlandet Parliament]]. The election is due to be held simultaneously to the [[2024 Kesva election|Kesva election]]. 

The election is the first of its kind, as part of the first union-wide elections to the Ostlandet Parliament. Elected members of the Ostlandet Parliament in Kernev will be elected until the [[2028 Ostlandet Parliament election]].

==Electoral system==
The electoral system will be [[First-past-the-post voting|single member plurality]]<ref name="fptp">{{Cite web|last=Lowen|first=Matti|date=2 September 2024|title=Opposition angered by Ostlandet Parliament electoral system|url=https://www.nationstates.net/page=rmb/postid=56859429|access-date=3 September 2024|website=Savon Truru|language=[[Kernevic language|Kernevic]]}}</ref> with four constituencies. This system is widely believed to favour [[Mebyon Kernev]] and has attracted opposition from non-governmental parties in Kernev<ref name="fptp" />.

The four seats' boundaries were determined by a Princely Commission, based on existing boundaries from the [[Kesva Kernev]] with 7 or 8 Kesva wards per constituency.

==Opinion polling==
{|class="wikitable sortable collapsible" style="text-align:center;font-size:95%;line-height:14px;"
|- style="height:42px;"
! rowspan="2"|Dates <br />conducted
! rowspan="2"|Pollster
! rowspan="2"|Client
! rowspan="2" data-sort-type="number"|Sample <br />size
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;"|[[Mebyon Kernev|MK]]<br /><small>[[Ostlandet Liberal and Centrist Party|PLMO]]</small>
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;"|[[Bora Keltek|BK]]<br /><small>[[Sovereigntist Group|BF]]</small>
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;"|[[Unyans Kernevek|UK]]<br /><small>[[Progressive and Social Democratic Alliance|CASD]]</small>
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;"|[[Folk Party (Kernev)|PG]]<br /><small>[[Democratic Conservative Group|BDT]]</small>
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;"|[[Socialist Labour Party (Kernev)|PLS]]<br/><small>[[Socialist Left (Ostlandet Union)|SC]]</small>
! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;"|[[Ecology Party (Kernev)|Eco]]<br/><small>[[Party for the Environment (Ostlandet Union)|PAÀ]]</small>
! rowspan="2" class="unsortable" style="width:75px;"|Others
! rowspan="2" data-sort-type="number"|Lead
|-
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Mebyon Kernev}};"|
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Bora Keltek}};"|
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Unyans Kernevek}};"|
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Folk Party (Kernev)}};"|
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Socialist Labour Party (Kernev)}};"|
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Ecology Party (Kernev)}};"|
|-
|{{opdrts|19|20|Sept|2024|year}} 	
|[https://www.nationstates.net/page=rmb/postid=57289274 SSG Election Polling] 
|''An Gorhel Fardellik''
|981
|style="background:#F1E6C1;color:black"|'''47%'''
|22%
|20%
|6%
|2%
|4%
|0%
|style="background:{{party color|Mebyon Kernev}};color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="25"|25
|-
|{{opdrts||18|Sept|2024|year}} 	
|[https://www.nationstates.net/page=rmb/postid=57279311 MacAlister Polling] 
|''Nowodhow a Gernev''
|1,271
|style="background:#F1E6C1;color:black"|'''47%'''
|17%
|19%
|6%
|2%
|6%
|2%
|style="background:{{party color|Mebyon Kernev}};color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="28"|28
|-
|{{opdrts|15|16|Sept|2024|year}} 	
|[https://www.nationstates.net/page=rmb/postid=56931938 An Vreus] 
|–
|1,000
|style="background:#F1E6C1;color:black"|'''42%'''
|17%
|23%
|8%
|4%
|6%
|0%
|style="background:{{party color|Mebyon Kernev}};color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="19"|19
|-
|{{opdrts|8|9|Sept|2024|year}} 	
|[https://www.nationstates.net/page=rmb/postid=56931938 An Vreus] 
|–
|1,000
|style="background:#F1E6C1;color:black"|'''48%'''
|20%
|22%
|7%
|2%
|2%
|0%
|style="background:{{party color|Mebyon Kernev}};color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="26"|26
|-
|{{opdrts|2|4|Sept|2024|year}} 	
|[https://www.nationstates.net/page=rmb/postid=56881885 MacAlister Polling] 
|''Nowodhow a Gernev''
|750
|style="background:#F1E6C1;color:black"|'''47%'''
|22%
|19%
|8%
|2%
|1%
|1%
|style="background:{{party color|Mebyon Kernev}};color:#FFFFFF;" data-sort-value="25"|25
|- style="background:#E5E5F5;font-style:italic;"
|{{opdrts||19|Jan|2020|year}} 	
| [[2020 Kesva election]]
| –
| –
|style="background:#F1E6C1;color:black" | '''42.0%'''
| 19.8%
| 18.2%
| 10.3%
| 4.1%
| 3.8%
| 1.7%
| style="background:{{party color|Mebyon Kernev}};color:#FFFFFF;" | 22.2
|}

==References==
{{reflist}}

{{Ostlandet Parliament elections}}

[[Category:2024 elections in Kernev|Ostlandet Parliament]]
[[Category:2024 Ostlandet Parliament election|Kernev]]
[[Category:Ostlandet Parliament elections in Kernev]]
[[Category:Kernev]]
[[Category:Terraconserva]]