Lyoan conflict

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Lyoan conflict
Part of the spillover of the Creeperian Drug War
LNDF.jpg
NSDU.jpg
PLFL.jpg
LNDF3.jpg

Clockwise from top-left: LNDF troops on patrol in Mitende, NSDU paramilitaries, LNDF troops on patrol, PLFL militants in their camp
Date5 July 2020 - present (3 months, 2 weeks and 6 days)
Location
Status Ongoing
Belligerents
Lyoa Lyoa
Emblem of the CNDD-FDD.svg RUF
Supported by:
Creeperopolis Creeperopolis

Self-Defense Groups
Right-wing Paramilitaries:

Mai-Mai militias:

Anti-Government Groups
Left-wing Guerrillas:

Mai-Mai militias:

Foreign militias:

Criminal Groups
Cartels:

Other criminal elements:

Commanders and leaders
Lyoa Kemoh Foday Jacob Nazima
Joseph Seko
Plm flag.png David Mutebusi
Plfl flag.png Alexander Tshingombe
National freedom front.jpg Ivan Mubenga
Julius Nashere
Jackson Chuo Sheka
Joaquín Costilla Sánchez
John Kasongo
Alphonse Katanga
Joseph Matata
Paul Manu
Strength
Armed Forces: 150,000+
Police: 60,000+
NSDU: 500+
BE: 20-30+
Kilalo: 100+
PLM: 1,000+
PLFL: 800+
NFF: 30-40+
NRCA: 80+
APCLS: 1,500+
MS: 5,000+
OE: 500+
GC: 100+
Mafia: 250+
Nkutu: 200-300+
Casualties and losses
100+ killed
1,000+ displaced

The Lyoan conflict is a low-intensity asymmetric war between the government of Lyoa and various militia groups ranging from far-left guerrillas to right-wing paramilitary groups. The conflict began with the hijacking of LNA Flight 283. The conflict is believed to have started after the collapse of the Creeperian Government-in-Exile, where the leftist factions in the government fled to central Lyoa to begin a communist insurgency. Several groups declared their existence after the Flight 283 incident, and began an insurgency against the government.

The reasons for fighting vary from group to group. The leftist guerrilla movements claim to be fighting for the rights of Lyoa's poor and working class, some emphasizing the rights of Lyoan miners. In contrast, the Lyoan government claims to be fighting for security and stability, as well as protecting the constitutional rights of Lyoan citizens. The paramilitaries claim to be fighting against the threat of communism, while the drug cartels fight for control of drug trafficking routes as well as control over other criminal enterprises. Other militias claim to be fighting for a variety of reasons, including independence or protection from other militias.

The war is considered to be fought on two fronts. The first being traditional guerrilla fighting with emphasis on controlling territory and resisting state security forces. The second front is relatively new for Lyoa: the urban guerrilla front. Smaller groups conduct bombings, assassinations, and other crimes to help further their cause, typically in major cities as opposed to in the bush.

Background

The origin of the armed conflict in Lyoa can be traced back to the breakup of the Creeperian Government-in-Exile, as well as the demobilization of combatants from the preceding Second Lyoan Civil War. Following Operation Banana, which ended with the capture of GPRCE president Antonio Gisbert Alcabú. He was executed by the government of Creeperopolis for various crimes. This resulted in a three-way split of the GPRCE as the group dissolved. The leftists within the GPRCE fled to central Lyoa, where they began arming themselves as well as any Lyoans who would listen to their communist rhetoric.

These new communist groups were aided by the demobilization process following the Second Lyoan Civil War. Combatants who did not see a future away from the battlefield heeded the call of far-left ideologues. This helped boost the ranks of the new militant groups, allowing them to effectively establish resistance against the government.

Drug cartels also became a part of the conflict as the Mara Salvatrucha gang continued to cement itself into Lyoa. Another gang, the Office of Ensula, was formed to directly challenge Mara Salvatrucha. All of the drug gangs are in conflict with the government as well.

Alongside the other groups, right-wing paramilitaries, including the Black Eagles, formed as a response to the formation of left-wing guerrillas. These groups claim to fight against the threat of communism, which they view as an "evil ideology". Other groups, including community-based Mai-Mai militias, have formed to exploit the war for their own gain.

History

Summer of 2020

The war began with the hijacking of LNA Flight 283 on July 5th, with the establishment of the National Freedom Front urban guerrilla group. The next day, the PLM and PLFL announced their formation and clashed with government forces. The PLM and PLFL were responsible for several attacks on government entities throughout the week. On July 15th, the war expanded to include drug gangs, who began fighting in Ensula. The Office of Ensula and Mara Salvatrucha began a violent street war for control over the criminal activities within the city. The rivalry continued to escalate throughout the month of July.

On July 19th, Mara Salvatrucha members assassinated an Office of Ensula member while he was sleeping at a friend's house. The Office promised brutal retaliation for the murder. On July 20th, the Office murdered several Mara members, which resulted in Mara lighting a house on fire belonging to an Office member. On the same day in Ilebo province, the Lyoa National Army launched a raid on a PLFL camp, destroying it and killing 15 rebels. The LNA found evidence of the group's links to drug trafficking at the camp. In Kabule, the Black Eagles assassinated a man they suspected of being connected to communist groups. The NFF also detonated a car bomb in front of the city council building in Getie. The next day, heavy fighting began between the PLM and a group calling itself the Ntihurist Self-Defense Units. This group claimed to be a paramilitary that would eradicate the PLM. In Ensula, a gunfight erupted at a bar between Mara members and the Office of Ensula. The National Freedom Front also abducted Xussman journalist Khristiya Yozhova in Kabule city.

Heavy violence continued on July 26th, with several shootings in connection with the Ensula Gang War, as well as an assassination carried out by paramilitaries. That same day, a video was released by the NFF displaying Khristiya Yozhova and demanding LY$1 million for her release. Fighting also broke out between the NSDU paramilitary group and Mara Salvatrucha, with the former pledging to wipe out the gang. On July 27th, another gang appeared, calling itself the Gulf Clan. This group was believed to have been formed to oppose Mara Salvatrucha in the Gulf of Karimun, a major drug trafficking route. The NFF released Yozhova after the ransom was paid, as well as detonated a pipe bomb at a restaurant. July ended with heavy fighting between government forces and rebels, as well as more assassinations and gang-related violence.

August saw several days of no violence; however, on August 5th, fighting once again erupted between rebels and the government, notably with the attempted killing of Martin Kalume. Police also busted a cell of the NFF in New Bostonia, arresting three people and seizing firearms and explosives. On August 19th, a convoy of the LNDF was ambushed in Mitende by PLM insurgents. On August 22nd, armed militants of Mai-Mai Nkutu stormed a village and abducted several women. A civilian was killed and several houses were burned in that attack as well. The same day, PLFL militants attacked an army position in Bendera, killing two soldiers and making off with an ammunition stash. The National Revolutionary Council of Akombeland group announced its existence on August 26th after an ambush that killed 18 LNDF soldiers. The next day, gang violence re-emerged with a murder connected to the Lyoan Mafia and another connected to Mara Salvatrucha. That same day, the NSDU raided a PLM-controlled village for ammunition. On August 28th, the National Freedom Front detonated a bomb at a police station in Nyabari. One policeman was killed in the incident. Two days later, the National Freedom Front attempted to assassinate Revolutionary United Front vice presidential candidate Alix Guidon in Yamuri. The attempt failed, with one of Guidon's bodyguards being killed in the incident.

Fall of 2020

The first week of September saw no violence; however, NFF cadre Pierre Kagame was interrogated for his involvement in the attempt on Alix Guidon's life. On September 8th, police conducted a raid which uncovered a munitions stash of the NFF in Yamuri city. That same day, civilians reported the presence of a group called Mai-Mai Kilalo in Kazima.

Human Rights Abuses

Attacks Against Civilians

Many armed groups involved in the conflict have used terrorist tactics, including the deliberate targeting of noncombatants. Groups such as the National Freedom Front and Black Eagles have, through bombings and shootings, deliberately targeted noncombatants. At least 20 civilians were reported to be killed by urban guerrilla groups in Summer 2020. Other armed groups have allegedly targeted civilians as well. State security forces have also been accused of killings of noncombatants.

Child Recruitment by Armed Groups

The use of child fighters by various armed groups has been alleged since the beginning of the conflict. The University of Tigera's Conflict Analysis Department has reported the presence of children in at least three armed groups. Around 35 cases of child recruitment were reported in Summer of 2020. Despite these accusations, all groups involved in the conflict deny that they recruit children.

Sexual Violence

Several rapes have been reported since the start of the conflict. Most accusers point towards fighters of various armed groups; however, Lyoan government forces have also been accused of participating in sexual violence. The Lyoa National Army denies all accusations of sexual violence by its forces. Armed groups accused have so far ignored allegations of rape and sexual assault. Antonio José Sáenz Heredia University's Conflict Analysis Department claimed to have recorded 20 instances of rape by left-wing armed groups, particular the Popular Liberation Movement in Mitende. The University has claimed that they have not yet found any instances of sexual violence committed by state security forces.